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V-Lab

TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

61.17%

increased by 1.84%

1 Week

67.34%

increased by 8.01%

1 Month

69.42%

increased by 10.09%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0661
5.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0869
4.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3959
13.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.4949
0.15
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0291
0.21
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9019
1.49

Persistence:

0.351

Half-life:

1 days