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V-Lab

TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

59.79%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

66.46%

increased by 6.31%

1 Month

68.94%

increased by 8.79%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2019 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0660
1.37
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0866
1.18
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3979
2.00**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.5024
0.67
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0298
1.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9007
7.04***

Persistence:

0.352

Half-life:

1 days