V-Lab
TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
61.17%
increased by 1.84%
1 Week
67.34%
increased by 8.01%
1 Month
69.42%
increased by 10.09%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 2, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0661 | 5.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0869 | 4.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3959 | 13.63*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4949 | 0.15 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0291 | 0.21 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9019 | 1.49 |
Persistence:
0.351
Half-life:
1 days
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