V-Lab
TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
59.79%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
66.46%
increased by 6.31%
1 Month
68.94%
increased by 8.79%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 2, 2019 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0660 | 1.37 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0866 | 1.18 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3979 | 2.00** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5024 | 0.67 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0298 | 1.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9007 | 7.04*** |
Persistence:
0.352
Half-life:
1 days
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