V-Lab
TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
62.19%
decreased by 2.47%
1 Week
69.93%
increased by 5.27%
1 Month
74.58%
increased by 9.92%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 2, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 180% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1286 | 9.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3663 | 10.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2321 | 6.80*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1022 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9956 | 15.52*** |
Persistence:
0.611
Half-life:
1 days
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