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V-Lab

TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

62.19%

decreased by 2.47%

1 Week

69.93%

increased by 5.27%

1 Month

74.58%

increased by 9.92%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TransMedics Group, Inc. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 180% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1286
9.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3663
10.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2321
6.80***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1022
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9956
15.52***

Persistence:

0.611

Half-life:

1 days