V-Lab
TransMedics Group, Inc. AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
61.09%
increased by 0.69%
1 Week
67.94%
increased by 7.54%
1 Month
70.91%
increased by 10.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 2, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.66) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 9.8188 | 5.02*** |
| αARCH | 0.2172 | 2.63*** |
| βGARCH | 0.2744 | 3.23*** |
| γleverage | 1.6592 | 2.23** |
0.492
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 9.8188 | 5.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2172 | 2.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2744 | 3.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.6592 | 2.23** |
Persistence:
0.492
Half-life:
1 days
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