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V-Lab

TransMedics Group, Inc. AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

61.09%

increased by 0.69%

1 Week

67.94%

increased by 7.54%

1 Month

70.91%

increased by 10.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TransMedics Group, Inc. AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.66) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst9.8188
5.02***
αARCH0.2172
2.63***
βGARCH0.2744
3.23***
γleverage1.6592
2.23**

0.492

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.8188
5.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2172
2.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2744
3.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.6592
2.23**

Persistence:

0.492

Half-life:

1 days