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TransMedics Group, Inc. GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

53.75%

decreased by 3.66%

1 Week

58.08%

increased by 0.67%

1 Month

64.37%

increased by 6.96%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of TransMedics Group, Inc. GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2019 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.98 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 3.98 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst18.4474
1.65*
αARCH0.1098
1.61
βGARCH0.8384
9.58***
νDF3.9800
0.73

0.838

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

18.4474
1.65*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1098
1.61
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8384
9.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9800
0.73

Persistence:

0.838

Half-life:

4 days