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Tectonic Therapeutic Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

86.54%

decreased by 3.60%

1 Week

86.67%

decreased by 3.47%

1 Month

87.14%

decreased by 3.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tectonic Therapeutic Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2018 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.18 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 63-day half-lifev = 3.18 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst33.7646
1.09
αARCH0.0534
8.73***
βGARCH0.9891
103.89***
νDF3.1791
6.07***

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

33.7646
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0534
8.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9891
103.89***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1791
6.07***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days