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V-Lab

Tectonic Therapeutic Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

82.38%

decreased by 28.49%

1 Week

96.68%

decreased by 14.19%

1 Month

106.28%

decreased by 4.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tectonic Therapeutic Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2018 to Sep 11, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 250% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 250% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.1997
2.25**
βGARCH0.2064
2.25**
γleverage0.5000
1.99**
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.58
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.7903
2.05**

0.656

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1997
2.25**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2064
2.25**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
1.99**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.58
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7903
2.05**

Persistence:

0.656

Half-life:

2 days