Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Tourism Enterprise Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

20.28%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

24.28%

increased by 3.44%

1 Month

34.51%

increased by 13.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tourism Enterprise Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 2006 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-lifev = 3.36 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.5238
0.93
αARCH0.1622
9.26***
βGARCH0.9739
34.90***
νDF3.3639
5.72***

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.5238
0.93
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1622
9.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9739
34.90***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3639
5.72***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days