V-Lab
Tourism Enterprise Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026
1 Day
20.28%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
24.28%
increased by 3.44%
1 Month
34.51%
increased by 13.67%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 2006 to Sep 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 26-day half-lifev = 3.36 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 15.5238 | 0.93 |
| αARCH | 0.1622 | 9.26*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9739 | 34.90*** |
| νDF | 3.3639 | 5.72*** |
0.974
Persistence26d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.5238 | 0.93 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1622 | 9.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9739 | 34.90*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.3639 | 5.72*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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