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V-Lab

Tourism Enterprise Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

24.47%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Week

28.03%

increased by 3.32%

1 Month

36.66%

increased by 11.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tourism Enterprise Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 2006 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4973
5.40***
αARCH0.1681
5.92***
βGARCH0.7689
36.41***
γleverage0.0345
0.62

0.954

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4973
5.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1681
5.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7689
36.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0345
0.62

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days