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V-Lab

Stran & Company Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

58.97%

decreased by 4.32%

1 Week

62.66%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Month

68.24%

increased by 4.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Stran & Company Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 108% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3637
21.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4504
14.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1885
-8.04***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.4131
2.53**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0979
2.31**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8907
19.71***

Persistence:

0.720

Half-life:

2 days