V-Lab
Seatrium Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
30.23%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
30.51%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Month
31.56%
increased by 0.69%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 11, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0794 | 20.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8592 | 131.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0207 | 4.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0130 | 3.55*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0254 | 4.68*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9730 | 159.28*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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