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V-Lab

Seatrium Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

30.23%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

30.51%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Month

31.56%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Seatrium Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 26% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
20.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8592
131.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0207
4.15***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0130
3.55***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0254
4.68***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9730
159.28***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days