V-Lab
SOL Strategies Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
109.74%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
109.74%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
109.74%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 9, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 28 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 28 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 8.75 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 47.7867 | 0.56 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9752 | 4.42*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 8.7532 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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