V-Lab
SOL Strategies Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
107.52%
increased by 2.41%
1 Week
108.20%
increased by 3.09%
1 Month
108.92%
increased by 3.81%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 9, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0185 | 7.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0569 | 1.18 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6903 | 2.03** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0309 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.747
Half-life:
2 days
Other SOL Strategies Inc Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities