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V-Lab

Stewart Information Services Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

52.95%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

51.12%

decreased by 2.43%

1 Month

46.12%

decreased by 7.43%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stewart Information Services Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 144% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0468
17.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8478
129.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0674
13.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0217
4.29***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0291
4.11***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9665
120.46***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days