V-Lab
Stewart Information Services Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
52.95%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
51.12%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Month
46.12%
decreased by 7.43%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 144% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0468 | 17.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8478 | 129.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0674 | 13.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0217 | 4.29*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0291 | 4.11*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9665 | 120.46*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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