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V-Lab

Stewart Information Services Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

52.42%

increased by 0.54%

1 Week

52.39%

increased by 0.51%

1 Month

52.28%

increased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stewart Information Services Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 122 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 133% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0558
12.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0417
17.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9251
492.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0553
10.51***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

122 days