V-Lab
Amplify Stablecoin Technology Leaders ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
63.73%
1 Week
65.86%
1 Month
74.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1326 | 39.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8755 | 90.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1326 | -23.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.84 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7645 | 0.69 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2355 | 0.20 |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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