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V-Lab

Amplify Stablecoin Technology Leaders ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

4.04%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

924.25%

increased by 919.62%

1 Month

28,941,440,185,312.14%

increased by 28,941,440,185,307.51%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Amplify Stablecoin Technology Leaders ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0009
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8968
2.50**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1904
0.64
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0026
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0016
0.00

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

98 days