V-Lab
Amplify Stablecoin Technology Leaders ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
38.26%
decreased by 3.42%
1 Week
39.17%
decreased by 2.51%
1 Month
39.87%
decreased by 1.81%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 23, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. The volatility power δ = 1.17 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 3.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0892 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5806 | 6.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0000 | 0.63 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1695 | 5.27*** |
Persistence:
0.662
Half-life:
2 days
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