V-Lab
Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
29.25%
decreased by 1.33%
1 Week
32.61%
increased by 2.03%
1 Month
37.08%
increased by 6.50%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 24, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1294 | 17.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6547 | 29.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0371 | 2.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.2679 | 0.64 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7934 | 0.54 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.803
Half-life:
3 days
Other Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities