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V-Lab

Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

29.25%

decreased by 1.33%

1 Week

32.61%

increased by 2.03%

1 Month

37.08%

increased by 6.50%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Servet Gayrimenkul Yatirim MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 24, 2013 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 29% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1294
17.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6547
29.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0371
2.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.2679
0.64
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7934
0.54
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.803

Half-life:

3 days