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V-Lab

SPI Energy Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

6,169.68%

increased by 3,447.31%

1 Week

6,241.53%

increased by 3,519.16%

1 Month

9,064.79%

increased by 6,342.42%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 10:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SPI Energy Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2016 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1095
2.14**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5232
9.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
7.86***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.49
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1257
0.78
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8743
4.13***

Persistence:

0.883

Half-life:

6 days