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	param	t-stat
$m$	31
$α$	0.3019	34.02
$β$	0.7612	76.39
$γ$	-0.3019	-30.47
$λ_{1}$	0.0126	2.07
$λ_{2}$	0.0753	2.91
$λ_{3}$	0.9151	28.93

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Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:17.87% (+6.10%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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