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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0507	16.67
$α$	0.1414	18.64
$β$	0.8529	90.66
$γ$	-0.8041	-12.56
$δ$	0.7322	18.11

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Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1x Shares APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:18.37% (+4.90%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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