V-Lab
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
39.84%
decreased by 3.60%
1 Week
41.74%
decreased by 1.70%
1 Month
44.28%
increased by 0.84%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:05 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1654 | 33.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5180 | 21.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0660 | 7.57*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8054 | 1.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1414 | 1.20 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7445 | 3.40*** |
Persistence:
0.716
Half-life:
2 days
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