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V-Lab

Sui Northern Gas Pipelines MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

39.84%

decreased by 3.60%

1 Week

41.74%

decreased by 1.70%

1 Month

44.28%

increased by 0.84%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sui Northern Gas Pipelines MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 5, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1654
33.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5180
21.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0660
7.57***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8054
1.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1414
1.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7445
3.40***

Persistence:

0.716

Half-life:

2 days