V-Lab
Sui Northern Gas Pipelines GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
44.14%
decreased by 4.74%
1 Week
44.47%
decreased by 4.41%
1 Month
45.39%
decreased by 3.49%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 8.8600 | 10.76*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1505 | 31.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9457 | 169.97*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.5413 | 14.21*** |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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