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Sui Northern Gas Pipelines GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

44.14%

decreased by 4.74%

1 Week

44.47%

decreased by 4.41%

1 Month

45.39%

decreased by 3.49%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sui Northern Gas Pipelines GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 5, 1993 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.54 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

8.8600
10.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1505
31.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9457
169.97***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.5413
14.21***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days