V-Lab
Brera Holdings Plc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
112.65%
decreased by 1.27%
1 Week
121.76%
increased by 7.84%
1 Month
123.93%
increased by 10.01%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0779 | 3.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1888 | 3.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -6.4515 | -0.63 |
| γ2 | 26.4796 | 1.77* |
| γ3 | -41.0412 | -4.88*** |
| γ4 | 28.4182 | 3.37*** |
| γ5 | 0.3540 | 0.03 |
| γ6 | -27.8557 | -2.29** |
| γ7 | 50.0706 | 5.05*** |
| γ8 | -55.6330 | -4.59*** |
| γ9 | 34.8333 | 2.94*** |
| γ10 | -9.4965 | -1.38 |
Persistence:
0.189
Half-life:
0 days
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