V-Lab
Brera Holdings Plc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
124.34%
decreased by 1.27%
1 Week
143.04%
increased by 17.43%
1 Month
152.94%
increased by 27.33%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3064 | 7.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2975 | 4.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0886 | -0.91 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0379 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8651 | 1.91* |
Persistence:
0.560
Half-life:
1 days
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