V-Lab
Brera Holdings Plc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
91.79%
decreased by 3.15%
1 Week
100.33%
increased by 5.39%
1 Month
121.82%
increased by 26.88%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 101.8946 | 2.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1005 | 14.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9500 | 57.53*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.0603 | 7.63*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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