Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Adagio Medical Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

1,531.26%

decreased by 314.48%

1 Week

1,529.77%

decreased by 315.97%

1 Month

1,523.81%

decreased by 321.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Adagio Medical Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.01 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst213.4554
1.61
αARCH0.1510
20.17***
βGARCH0.9990
1,598.40***
νDF2.0055
8,152.53***

0.999

Persistence

693d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

213.4554
1.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1510
20.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
1,598.40***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0055
8,152.53***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days