V-Lab
Softbank Group Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
72.11%
increased by 3.42%
1 Week
72.88%
increased by 4.19%
1 Month
73.63%
increased by 4.94%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 16, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 95% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1075 | 22.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6354 | 48.18*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1024 | 11.94*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3516 | 1.82* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1823 | 1.96* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7778 | 6.79*** |
Persistence:
0.794
Half-life:
3 days
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