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V-Lab

Softbank Group Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

72.11%

increased by 3.42%

1 Week

72.88%

increased by 4.19%

1 Month

73.63%

increased by 4.94%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Softbank Group Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 16, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 95% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1075
22.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6354
48.18***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1024
11.94***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3516
1.82*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1823
1.96*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7778
6.79***

Persistence:

0.794

Half-life:

3 days