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V-Lab

Securitize Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

108.72%

decreased by 34.23%

1 Week

106.75%

decreased by 36.20%

1 Month

99.69%

decreased by 43.26%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Securitize Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.21 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

9.6654
4.45***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2088
28.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9769
214.09***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2083
19.81***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days