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V-Lab

Securitize Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

314.45%

decreased by 1.15%

1 Week

324.89%

increased by 9.29%

1 Month

328.11%

increased by 12.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Securitize Corp SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4415
2.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0668
1.35
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2530
0.47
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1102.7430
1.53
γ2-216.9626
-2.36**
γ3322.8651
5.01***
γ4-502.9975
-5.63***
γ5612.7836
5.96***
γ6-605.9363
-7.05***
γ7498.5805
6.26***
γ8-248.1264
-2.90***
γ951.3289
0.50

Persistence:

0.320

Half-life:

1 days