V-Lab
Securitize Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
3,724.78%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Week
5,763.98%
increased by 2,038.31%
1 Month
10,509.51%
increased by 6,783.84%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 2081 trading days (~8.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.6727 | 2.17** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6977 | 8.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3020 | 3.54*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -105.2501 | -0.38 |
| γ2 | 56.9687 | 0.19 |
| γ3 | 232.7089 | 1.97** |
| γ4 | -481.8804 | -2.80*** |
| γ5 | 559.6207 | 2.90*** |
| γ6 | -415.3900 | -2.51** |
| γ7 | 240.3961 | 1.65* |
| γ8 | -51.0780 | -0.35 |
| γ9 | -107.6317 | -0.97 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2081 days
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