V-Lab
SDI Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Friday, June 26th, 2026):
1 Day
50.04%
1 Week
54.78%
1 Month
57.33%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 26, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 2001 to Jun 19, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 66% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1280 | 6.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1195 | 5.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0842 | 4.88*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8525 | 0.38 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4049 | 1.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5254 | 1.01 |
Persistence:
0.290
Half-life:
1 days
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