V-Lab
RHB Bank Bhd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
15.02%
decreased by 0.88%
1 Week
15.69%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
16.77%
increased by 0.87%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 43% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1152 | 29.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6905 | 60.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0500 | 6.94*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0037 | 2.07** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0182 | 5.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9807 | 284.01*** |
Persistence:
0.831
Half-life:
4 days
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