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V-Lab

Rabbit Holdings PCL MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

58.43%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

78.34%

increased by 19.15%

1 Month

113.37%

increased by 54.18%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rabbit Holdings PCL MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1972
5.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4663
10.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0049
-0.16
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7732
0.24
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1221
0.03

Persistence:

0.661

Half-life:

2 days