V-Lab
Rabbit Holdings PCL MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
58.43%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
78.34%
increased by 19.15%
1 Month
113.37%
increased by 54.18%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 8, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1972 | 5.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4663 | 10.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0049 | -0.16 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7732 | 0.24 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1221 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.661
Half-life:
2 days
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