Skip to main content
V-Lab

Rabbit Holdings PCL Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

69.98%

increased by 32.14%

1 Week

69.27%

increased by 31.43%

1 Month

67.04%

increased by 29.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rabbit Holdings PCL S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2395
1.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1204
5.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8405
29.91***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.2271
0.54
γ2-0.6391
-1.20
γ30.6407
4.01***
γ4-0.0714
-0.51
γ5-0.5534
-4.80***
γ60.7471
6.88***
γ7-0.7533
-5.89***
γ80.7190
8.00***
γ9-0.4173
-5.05***
γ100.1326
1.61

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days