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V-Lab

Rabbit Holdings PCL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

62.94%

increased by 6.45%

1 Week

64.33%

increased by 7.84%

1 Month

69.52%

increased by 13.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Rabbit Holdings PCL GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 202 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 155% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4074
3.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0284
4.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9461
296.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0441
4.62***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

202 days