V-Lab
Rabbit Holdings PCL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
57.51%
decreased by 0.69%
1 Week
59.06%
increased by 0.86%
1 Month
64.76%
increased by 6.56%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 8, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 200 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 157% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4048 | 3.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0282 | 4.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9462 | 297.46*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0442 | 4.59*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
200 days
Other Rabbit Holdings PCL Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities