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V-Lab

Rabbit Holdings PCL GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

57.51%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

59.06%

increased by 0.86%

1 Month

64.76%

increased by 6.56%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Rabbit Holdings PCL GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 8, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 200 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 157% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4048
3.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0282
4.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9462
297.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0442
4.59***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

200 days