V-Lab
FT Vest Nasdaq-100 ETF - MAY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
7.33%
decreased by 0.97%
1 Week
7.71%
decreased by 0.59%
1 Month
8.61%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6779 | 73.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 44.81*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3835 | 0.70 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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