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FT Vest Nasdaq-100 ETF - MAY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

7.33%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Week

7.71%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Month

8.61%

increased by 0.31%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of FT Vest Nasdaq-100 ETF - MAY MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6779
73.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
44.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3835
0.70
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days