V-Lab
Prism Medico & Pharmacy Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
37.96%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
773,772.43%
increased by 773,734.01%
1 Month
1,612,478,464,972,478,400,000,000.00%
increased by 1,612,478,464,972,478,400,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1553 | 1.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7073 | 6.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0076 | 0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0028 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.866
Half-life:
5 days
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