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V-Lab

Putnam BDC Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

16.93%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

20.05%

increased by 2.90%

1 Month

22.35%

increased by 5.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Putnam BDC Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0359
5.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3520
16.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4924
20.89***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0267
2.04**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3620
9.17***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6380
12.19***

Persistence:

0.634

Half-life:

2 days