V-Lab
Oklo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
57.39%
increased by 1.38%
1 Week
57.39%
increased by 1.38%
1 Month
57.41%
increased by 1.40%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 8, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 9762 trading days (~38.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1785 | 19.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8989 | 242.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1548 | -8.30*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 26.4838 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
9762 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities