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V-Lab
V-Lab

Oklo Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

46.80%

decreased by 2.48%

1 Week

46.81%

decreased by 2.47%

1 Month

46.86%

decreased by 2.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Oklo Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 8, 2021 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0022
0.73
αARCH0.2064
2.73***
βGARCH0.8788
28.71***
γleverage-0.1702
-1.93*

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0022
0.73
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2064
2.73***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8788
28.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1702
-1.93*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-