S&P/NZX All Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, June 5th, 2026
1 Day
8.05%
decreased by 2.29%
1 Week
7,028.51%
increased by 7,018.17%
1 Month
45,630,831,682,098,456.00%
increased by 45,630,831,682,098,450.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 5, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0206 | 205,990.00 | |
| -0.0412 | -411,770.00 | |
| 0.0671 | 4.87 | |
| 0.9176 | 22.55 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to Apr 2, 2026
Jan 3, 1990 to Apr 2, 2026
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