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V-Lab

Next PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

22.36%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

22.89%

increased by 0.13%

1 Month

24.30%

increased by 1.54%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Next PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 324% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0222
11.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8788
118.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0719
17.02***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0203
1.94*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0157
2.66***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9783
115.97***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days