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V-Lab

Nexi S.P.A. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.67%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

37.28%

increased by 0.26%

1 Month

38.67%

increased by 1.65%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nexi S.P.A. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 6, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0414
1.55
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8607
6.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0101
-0.71
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.2505
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0215
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.897

Half-life:

6 days