V-Lab
Nexi S.P.A. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.67%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Week
37.28%
increased by 0.26%
1 Month
38.67%
increased by 1.65%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 6, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0414 | 1.55 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8607 | 6.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0101 | -0.71 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.2505 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0215 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.897
Half-life:
6 days
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