Morgan Stanley PHY SM MD ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
17.69%
increased by 0.28%
1 Week
17.85%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
18.24%
increased by 0.83%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1160 | 4.05 | |
| 0.0658 | 1.09 | |
| 0.8503 | 9.17 | |
| 0.1402 | 0.78 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 9, 2024 to Jul 2, 2026
Dec 9, 2024 to Jul 2, 2026
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