V-Lab
Mobile-Health Network Soltns GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
106.87%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
111.49%
increased by 4.07%
1 Month
123.06%
increased by 15.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 10, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.67 |
| αARCH | 0.1122 | 1.11 |
| βGARCH | 0.8806 | 9.33*** |
| γleverage | -0.1122 | -1.42 |
0.937
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.67 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1122 | 1.11 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8806 | 9.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1122 | -1.42 |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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