V-Lab
Mobile-Health Network Soltns GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
111.04%
increased by 0.93%
1 Week
115.02%
increased by 4.91%
1 Month
125.08%
increased by 14.97%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 10, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.68 |
| αARCH | 0.1181 | 1.10 |
| βGARCH | 0.8765 | 9.23*** |
| γleverage | -0.1158 | -1.32 |
0.937
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.68 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1181 | 1.10 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8765 | 9.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1158 | -1.32 |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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