V-Lab
Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
316.86%
increased by 107.69%
1 Week
324.93%
increased by 115.76%
1 Month
353.75%
increased by 144.58%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 10, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 81 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1,609.0910 | 4.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3116 | 74.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9914 | 549.58*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.5322 | 63.10*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
81 days
Other Mobile-Health Network Soltns Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities