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V-Lab

Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

150.38%

increased by 6.57%

1 Week

169.90%

increased by 26.09%

1 Month

230.07%

increased by 86.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 119 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.60 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2,231.1386
5.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3219
79.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9942
945.03***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.6042
60.22***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

119 days