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V-Lab

Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

316.86%

increased by 107.69%

1 Week

324.93%

increased by 115.76%

1 Month

353.75%

increased by 144.58%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 81 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1,609.0910
4.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3116
74.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9914
549.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5322
63.10***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

81 days