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Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

154.42%

decreased by 88.52%

1 Week

175.02%

decreased by 67.92%

1 Month

235.86%

decreased by 7.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Mobile-Health Network Soltns GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 10, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.59 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 55-day half-lifev = 2.59 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run1,221.8365
0.99
αscore0.3268
18.87***
βpersistence0.9875
83.95***
νDF2.5938
14.37***

0.987

Persistence

55d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

1,221.8365
0.99
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.3268
18.87***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9875
83.95***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.5938
14.37***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days