Skip to main content
V-Lab

Kurv High Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

32.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

32.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

32.10%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Kurv High Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 282 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 10.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0895
0.29
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9975
3.15***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

10.1384
0.09

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

282 days