V-Lab
Kurv High Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
30.34%
increased by 0.31%
1 Week
31.17%
increased by 1.14%
1 Month
32.24%
increased by 2.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 25.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.2713 | 21.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1022 | 3.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8009 | 13.96*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 25.9575 | 0.15 |
Persistence:
0.801
Half-life:
3 days
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