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V-Lab

Kurv High Income ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

30.34%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

31.17%

increased by 1.14%

1 Month

32.24%

increased by 2.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Kurv High Income ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 25.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.2713
21.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1022
3.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8009
13.96***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

25.9575
0.15

Persistence:

0.801

Half-life:

3 days