V-Lab
Kurv High Income ETF Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
18.58%
decreased by 2.18%
1 Week
19.34%
decreased by 1.42%
1 Month
20.00%
decreased by 0.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible. The volatility power δ = 1.69 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4577 | 8.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1751 | 6.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5123 | 13.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5314 | 5.83*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.6883 | 6.58*** |
Persistence:
0.697
Half-life:
2 days
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