V-Lab
Kurv High Income ETF APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
25.93%
decreased by 2.15%
1 Week
27.80%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Month
30.02%
increased by 1.94%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 1.12 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4725 | 4.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1283 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6648 | 11.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0000 | 1.11 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1166 | 9.35*** |
Persistence:
0.777
Half-life:
3 days
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