V-Lab
Kurv High Income ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
26.28%
decreased by 0.92%
1 Week
28.99%
increased by 1.79%
1 Month
31.15%
increased by 3.95%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 2.17) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4382 | 6.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1698 | 14.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5241 | 28.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 2.1747 | 15.00*** |
Persistence:
0.694
Half-life:
2 days
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