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V-Lab

Kurv High Income ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

26.28%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Week

28.99%

increased by 1.79%

1 Month

31.15%

increased by 3.95%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Kurv High Income ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 2.17) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4382
6.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1698
14.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5241
28.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

2.1747
15.00***

Persistence:

0.694

Half-life:

2 days