Jamaica Stock Exchange Market Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, April 11th, 2023
1 Day
4,239,921,173,795,570,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 05:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | ||
| 0.5880 | 5,879,720.00 | |
| 0.1620 | 1,620,280.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0852 | 22.36 | |
| 0.1362 | 70.06 | |
| 0.7950 | 167.93 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 5, 2026
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